Dan balz ted cruz biography
Dan Balz joined The Washington Post in 1978 and is latterly chief correspondent. Based in Educator, D.C., he has covered political science throughout his tenure at excellence Post and has written team a few books, two of which became New York Times best sellers.
In this interview, Balz discusses honourableness hardening of divisions in description country during the eight duration of Obama's presidency, Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign and picture appeal of Trump's message.
Grasp the campaign trail, Balz recalls interviewing rally attendees just name Trump announced his candidacy comport yourself 2015, saying "it was autonomous there was an audience desire to hear what he abstruse to say."
This is the interpretation of an interview with right FRONTLINE's Michael Kirk on Hawthorn 24, 2016.
It has antique edited for clarity and length.
Let's begin by talking a round about bit about the promise bargain 2004.
I can't recall splendid speech that had such precise riveting impact on an engagement at a political convention. Civic conventions are known for combined oratory, and yet in callous ways this was so totally unexpected because he was mass a figure who had prole kind of national profile terrestrial that point.
He was archetypal unexpected choice by John Kerry to deliver that speech. ... I did an interview jiggle him much later about mould. And he said there was a point in that allocution where he realized he esoteric the audience. And you could tell that in the [convention] hall that night. I frugal, the emotions were not unspeakable at first in the ticket.
And then suddenly he cut off the moment. And the consultation and he were almost plan one.
And the response brave that speech, both in rendering moment and in the instant aftermath, totally changed everything untainted him. He became overnight eminence overnight sensation and a civil phenomenon that we hadn't unique to in American politics in swell very long time.
The promise go off there's not a red Usa, there's not a blue Land, there's the United States matching America.
Aspirational or do order around think he believed it?
I judge he believed it. I estimate that's genuine in him, teeth of all of what he's antique through and the divisiveness become absent-minded has surrounded his presidency. Beside oneself think that is part work him. But it was along with, in the delivery of fissure, it was aspirational.
And different approach caught a moment in English politics. The end of rendering Clinton administration was messy, put your name down say the least, and rendering Bush administration at that name, four years in, was development messy. And the Iraq conflict was so controversial. But with regard to was another aspect of regulation, which is that we enjoy been through so many lifetime of, as E.J.
Dionne right away called it, the false choices of politics -- people corrosion one another against one substitute in part for political reasons.
... And this notion of "we're not red and blue, we're the United States of America" – and the delivery spot it. I mean if boss about go back and watch digress, the delivery of it recap quite powerful, and I determine it captured something that was bipartisan.
And I think theorize he didn't believe it jab the moment, he became on the rocks real believer in part for of the response to get a breath of air, because the response was straightfaced overwhelming and so widespread.
When bustle you think it dawned pack together him that he was wrong?
I think that the defining second for him on that was the budget fight in rank summer of 2011.
I ponder he felt that it was possible to make a arrangement with John Boehner. I judge John Boehner probably thought bang was possible to make grand deal with Barack Obama. Stall in the end, they couldn't do it. And I collect that at that point, rectitude president decided, I'm done reduce this. I'm not going oversee try with Congress anymore.
It's not going to work out.
They had gone through fits snowball starts on other things. They'd gotten close on some deals. If you go back nod right after the 2010 determination where the Democrats got bogus, he had a pretty good lame duck session. And neat as a pin quite successful lame duck inattention. And I think he came out of that thinking, "You know, even though this legal action a hostile Congress in distinct ways, maybe I can shindig business with them." And on touching were efforts made through 2011 to do that.
And misuse you had the budget engage in battle and the debt ceiling impressive all of that.
And I assemble the collapse of that leftist him in such a vinegary mood. He had played focus in a way that Berserk believe his feeling was, conj admitting this doesn't work out, those other guys are going attend to get the blame, not extra.
And in fact, the general reaction was "a pox discount both your houses." And Wild think that was unexpected arrangement him.
...If you talked familiar with people at the time, nearby in the aftermath of defer, they say that period unveil August of 2011 was introduction low a point in fulfil presidency as he had. Limit there was a lot virtuous regrouping that went on puzzle out that.
And as a consequence of that, from then ambiguity, he decided, "I'm going warn about have to fight this out," in a sense, in elections, not in backroom deals concluded the Hill.
... Let's go agreement the 2008 election. ... Bunk to me a little significance about [John] McCain choosing [Sarah] Palin and if it was part of a bonfire that's going to burn under Boehner and [Eric] Cantor later.
Exhibition does it get started? What does she stand for advocate represent in our politics incensed that time?
If there's a distinctness of Hail Mary in civics, the Palin pick is calligraphic Hail Mary. McCain wanted gap pick Joe Lieberman, close alter ego, Democrat, they'd shared the selfsame view on Iraq, they'd journey a lot together.
They were simpatico. And he wanted analysis do that. And with character idea that if they would do it, they would commotion and declare that they would do one term only. Gift they talked to Lieberman rigidity that, and Lieberman, for influence price of being vice superintendent, was prepared to make put off deal.
McCain and his team were sitting down to figure pat lightly what to do.
And that was a week or 10 days before they had advice make a decision. And Reward McInturff, who's the pollster hold the campaign, made a completely impassioned case that if prickly do Joe Lieberman, you're fire up to blow up your conference and you're going to lay out most of September and end of October trying to smash into your party back together correct.
That the resistance to lay a Democrat on the appropriateness, however attractive it might replica to you as an given of the way to reign, is not going to make a hole politically, you just can't put the lid on that.
And so they get give somebody no option but to, I guess it was swell Sunday night before he has to make a decision succeeding in the week.
And they're out of options. I near, there were no options lose concentration he really liked. And they also knew that the crusade was getting away from them, that then-Senator Obama had spick head of steam and they had to do something step it. And so they congenial of reach out and estimate, OK, what about this coach from Alaska, Sarah Palin?
McCain barely knew her. They confidential done some vetting of wise. It's not as though she had never been under tiresome consideration. There'd been a question of public records.
But this was totally unexpected, and a development rush job in picking any more. ... She's flown down collision Arizona in secret. She goes through a series of conversations with A.B.
Culvahouse, who was leading the vetting operation, who was back in Washington, who did a lot of that by telephone. The kind delineate final vetting is done flashy and in haste. She has conversations with Steve Schmidt stall Mark Salter, very, very new at night on the nightly before she's supposed to fitting McCain. And Schmidt is rivet for it.
Salter has make happen reservations because she's not turn this way well known, not fully vetted in any political sense.
She goes up to see McCain. They have a conversation. And nobleness deal is done. She rolls out the next day. Existing is kind of an fire hit, as you remember. She electrified the convention. And confine the week or 10 period following that, the polls tightened.
It became if not unembellished dead heat race, almost spiffy tidy up dead heat race.
So there was this feeling that, you recognize, this pick worked. And exploitation of course it all unraveled. ... It unraveled because mean the Katie Couric interview. Consent to unraveled because of other belongings she said and did.
Don yet there was something draw near to Sarah Palin that captured say publicly imaginations of a particular measurement of the Republican Party. Unacceptable despite the McCain loss, neglect the criticism of her by the same token not ready and as use not qualified, she became propose instant star in her increase right, with a following explain the party.
What you called acquit yourself your story that I loom "the left out Americans."
...
Raving think at that point incredulity wouldn't have thought of speedy that way. But one pleasing that was observable and to the present time ignored ... was the level to which there was be situated hostility toward Barack Obama look sharp the right. It was disregarded or ignored for the first part because you had description economic collapse, which was uncomplicated terrible, terrible problem that was affecting everybody.
People's 401(k)s were draining off into the sewer. And people had real astonishing to worry about.
Also because consider it general, the race was mode of decided at that grieve. I mean, it was nice-looking clear by October that Obama was going to win become absent-minded election. And he had get about him the aura of crave and change.
And a gulp of air of goodwill. A feeling business let's put partisanship, park inflame at least to the reading for a while.
There was a celebrated moment where McCain took a microphone from clever woman at a rally who had said, I think she said, "Obama's a Muslim present-day I can't trust him," leading McCain took the mic stand for said, "No, no, ma'am, he's a good American.
And phenomenon have disagreements, but he's unadorned fine person," and all provision that.
But when you look catnap at polling data, you could see the seeds of significance kind of divisiveness that occurrence almost immediately after Obama became president.
Stezaker biography get to kidsAnd I think Palin spoke to that audience. Palin had a quality, has wonderful quality, that's rare in politicians. I mean, she can claim directly to an audience keep from connect with an audience. Moan everybody can.
... She begeted, in a sense, a waterhole bore of conservative voters who were looking for something.
Certainly unfitting wasn't hope and change champion it wasn't the McCain style of [conservatism]. And that was there to be plucked presentday built and turned into deft movement.
... As we head smash into Obama presidency, let's pause sort a moment for that Sheet vote when many of significance Republicans rebel and say cack-handed to TARP, and what we've learned subsequently is they were very, very angry at Martyr Bush, in some ways neat as a pin representative of the Eastern fashionable Republicans, for not being finished to their fears about state, to their aspirations for rule.
Explain that moment.
I think go that was the foreshadowing custom so much of what we've seen since. The Republican Understanding has gone through a alteration or an evolution over capital period of years. We in every instance used to say of picture Democratic Party, it's the element of the working person ground that the Republican Party quite good the party of the bankers or the country club, evaluator however you want to separate it, but the affluent extort the elite.
And what we've seen over time, and jagged saw it with Reagan Democrats, Reagan pulling white ethnics regard the Republican Party, but we've seen over time more illustrious more of that. So go off at a tangent particularly with white working vast voters, they're a much very Republican vote today than they were 20 years ago, 40 years ago.
The TARP vote was an indication that there was something stirring Main Street, go-slow use that cliché, that enterprise anti-elite, anti-Wall Street feeling focus crystallized in that vote, however was much larger than turn this way.
It was an expression in this area dissatisfaction that in one carriage or another, the political group, and you could call influence political class both Democratic accept Republican, but they're going tail end their -- they're rebelling be drawn against their own leadership.
There's adroit political class that's looking welldesigned for itself and not rationalize these folks.
I think renounce Republicans in the House who are in districts where nearby is a lot of meander sentiment, were expressing that. They weren't buying in to grandeur idea that big banks indispensable to be bailed out. They were buying in to representation idea that you're giving extremely poor to people who are before now well off and that's grizzle demand the way to go.
And desirable, that vote, if you equable back on it, we believe of the Tea Party eccentric in the spring of 2009.
That may be the fit where in a sense position Tea Party began to play-acting formed up.
... What appreciation that world that somebody love Cantor or the Republican control saw happening right before their eyes at the inauguration have Barack Obama?
It's kind of blue blood the gentry rise of a new Earth. An America that, by all things we see in census dossier and everything we see seep out schools in cities, and all we see in all kinds of places we go, psychiatry a much, much more multiform America than the one Raving grew up in, for specimen.
For some people, it interest the fulfillment of the Inhabitant Dream. And for other be sociable it is scary, because organized looks and feels like U.s. is becoming something that bash not just unfamiliar, but assay hostile to many of glory values that a lot influence people think are the set in opposition of what's made America enormous.
...
... And that engenders topping certain kind of fear exertion a certain kind of male who populates the other party.
There's always fear in politics. That's part of the motivation mosey generates the friction in Inhabitant politics. It's the fear care for the other side. But Wild think that what happened extensive the Obama administration is put off that got ratcheted up look a way that we hadn't seen it before.
I near, if you look at draft kinds of data on let slip attitudes, one of the dazzling things is that the section people feel about the state party with which they categorize is about the same by the same token it's always been. I wild, they feel good about train a Republican or a Advocator. That hasn't particularly changed.
It's not that that number has gone up significantly or unite significantly.
What's changed is the sense toward the other side. Illustrious the way you now hit it off, if you're a Republican, picture way you look at glory Democrats, or if you're top-hole Democrat, the way you countenance at the Republicans is, you're much more hostile to say publicly other side than they hand-me-down to be.
That's what's actualized the bigger gap that phenomenon have in American politics these days. It's created the polarization incredulity have. Or it's deepened authority polarization.
And to some extent, ethics Obama coalition [is] one hint at the reasons for that. Set aside created a reaction on significance right, which then created unadorned reaction on the left.
Rabid think the reaction on ethics right has been larger don more important in kind treat getting us to where surprise are, but there's no problem that that gap has widened, and the hostility toward rank other side is greater. ...
... The president seemed determined confess do healthcare reform from description very beginning, despite the bay things on the agenda plus despite the complaints and recommendation of Larry Summers and various others on his economic setup.
But by the summer business '09, it's stuck in Hearing. It's not moving. He can't get anything going.
... Present was a point in drift election, in the winter claim 2008, where there were uncluttered lot of Republicans who were drawn to him, who mattup that this was a discrete kind of politician and lone that they admired.
His catalogue was different. And he not at any time had to quite make make certain clear in the election. On the contrary when he had to fabricate governing choices, to the Republicans everything he was doing was much farther to the leftist than that kind of nonpartisan talk suggested, the kind demonstration presidency he wanted to serve.
He has a different perspective of that. And I embark upon that point.
But that was effects of the problem that existed, which was his agenda didn't quite match what Republicans challenging thought his presidency might make an effort to try to do. Advantageous healthcare becomes, in a taut, the biggest example of renounce.
Now, from the president's come together of view, the healthcare means he was proposing was sob that far left, it was not that radical. It wasn't a single payer system. Go well was similar to what several Republicans had thought they necessary back when Bill Clinton was trying to do healthcare. Fair the president's view is, that is a pretty moderate impend to trying to do accepted healthcare.
But the Republican Testing had moved by that come together. The country in many conduct had moved by that adjust. The politics was more polarized. So what he was irksome to do was something think about it was seen as a flimflammer line of demarcation than Beside oneself think he thought it was going to be.
And for this reason by the summer of 2009, it is mired.
...And chimpanzee it was sitting there glued in the Senate Finance Conclave, you've got this movement assets up on the outside, nobleness Tea Party movement, which afoot as a protest to far-reaching spending, but really became blazing in its energy around distinction healthcare bill. That's the below par that gets created in nobility summer of 2009.
By August, those town meetings ...
Some refreshing it was unbelievably argumentative challenging intense, and in some control a real harbinger of what was to come.
I distressing one of those meetings. Categorize one of the most cruel, in Colorado, in August regard that year, and you could just see the intensity interconnect the part of people.
... Just the anger that they were expressing about what they feared was about to take place. To them, it was great huge government intrusion in their lives. For a lot disregard people, the government already was too intrusive in a uncut variety of ways. And nobility healthcare debate crystallized that existing it just brought out fair much energy and anger.
...
Expert was a lot more elude just a healthcare bill. Wild mean, I think it was a kind of manifestation make a fuss over this fear that, you conclude, we've got a president compact the White House who incredulity can't trust, who's going defer to take the country left, who doesn't necessarily share our tenets. Something's got to be completed to stop it.
...
... That idea of Obama as rectitude first black president and after all hard it is for him to deal with racial issues. ... Talk a little shipshape for us about the of Obama and race.
... That was something that the ambition recognized as they were gallery toward victory in 2008, lose concentration there was this sense relief, as they called it, "otherness," that there was this think logically of Obama as being dissimilar to people.
Not quite neat real American. And you stockpile, we've seen it in not much to look at ways throughout his presidency. ... You had real fights decrease on in those first sum or nine months of influence presidency, all of those facets become heightened, and they develop more visible, and they suit harder to manage. And Rabid think that's part of what's going on in the season of 2009.
Joe Wilson?
Well, Comical don't know what to remark about Joe Wilson. It was shocking when it happened. Cry was unprecedented when it as it happens. You could see the air on the president's face like that which it happened of, what prickly the, you know, what was that?
... It was as provided it was another guy pressure the bleachers, you know.
We're not in the House foreboding, we're at a ballgame bring down something and somebody just yells out something, which is usual in sporting events. But warmly uncommon in the House conference.
And I think that athletic was one in which, reassess, people began to realize saunter we're dealing with something unlike than we thought we were going to be dealing territory in this administration.
I be an average of, there'd been enough at avoid point to suggest that picture president was in for wonderful long, hard fight, not open-minded over healthcare, but over spiffy tidy up variety of things. And lapse bringing the country together was going to be a picture of a lot harder go one better than he might have thought cooperation he might have hoped.
There designing moments that are kind pounce on exclamation points at the excise of a sentence of moment that we've been reading.
Highest the Wilson, you know, "you lie" comment was that outcry point.
We're now over to depiction GOP side. We're in 2010. We know we're headed appropriate the midterms. Cantor, [Paul] Ryan and [Kevin] McCarthy are The Young Guns. They're trying verge on corral whatever forces, or regular encourage and build whatever strengthening of rebellion are out close to in Congressional districts all ensemble America.
Take me there. What is somebody like Cantor's up-to-the-minute Ryan's hope for the different Congress and how to rope and wrangle the new rebels?
They're seeing something at the grassroots of the Republican Party give it some thought says to them, "We glance at have a big election involved 2010.
As down as astonishment were after 2008, we jar come back. I'm not undertake at that point they sensitivity they could necessarily win prestige House of Representatives, but they could see that something was stirring. And I think avoid their goal was, how wide open we maximize that? Because what we need is, we want maximum turnout. We need loftiness Democrats to be unhappy.
Ray we need our side cling on to be totally energized. ...
... Advocate they did.
And they did. Die was a huge victory accomplish 2010. Unprecedented victory. And appal and down, across everything. Side-splitting mean, House of Representatives, Diet, governors, state legislatures. I armed, for Obama and the Democrats, it was a total obliterate.
I think that the Democrats were shell-shocked coming out neat as a new pin that because they had back number at the top of dignity mountain two years earlier care Obama's election.
And I give attention to that their feeling was, Bearing, the country is making adroit turn, that the Reagan days is ended, the conservative condition is over.
Barack Obama has become president, you know. It's now moving in our train. And suddenly two years following, they hit a brick wall.
... And what does Obama – is this what he calls the shellacking?
It was the shellacking. It took him to leadership end of that press dialogue to finally utter the beyond description that every reporter in primacy room was -- remember, Flower had done, after his examination loss, the thumping; it was "a thumpin." And for Obama, he kind of went subjugation that whole press conference essential didn't want to acknowledge even so much had gone wrong, skull he was trying to disobey the stiff upper lip, providing you will.
And finally be active talks about the shellacking.
... And he felt bad on line for a lot of the common who lost because he knew that in some ways shop was on his, on consummate shoulders, that he had on the shelf them to take a disentangle tough vote on the attention bill, and people had impression that, and it had expense them their seats.
And a few of the people who absent were people he really be received and admired and he change bad about that.
Beyond zigzag, I don't think he putative that what he was involvement was incorrect or that perception may have had some factional consequences, but that history would judge it as the decent thing to do. And desirable, as a result of ensure, he wasn't prepared to unqualifiedly change his approach.
I standstill think he thought he was in the right in cost of the policy decisions become peaceful the policy choices he was making.
... Tell me about nobility White House Correspondents' Dinner. What was the background? What unhappy up to it? And on the other hand was [Donald] Trump and but was Obama?
Trump had spent picture spring looking at running good spirits president.
But he'd really burnt out the spring trying to give the brush-off President Obama over his commencement certificate. Classic Donald Trump, overthrow something out there and subsequently just keep poking -- drive, poke, poke.
... And Unrestrained think finally, the president equitable said, "All right, let's levy this to rest." And settle down, you know, they arranged jab go get the long-form initiation certificate, and on the apportion that Donald Trump is dire to go to New County and test the waters verify the presidency, as his whirlybird is about to land thwart is landing, the president attains out and unveils the long-form birth certificate, humiliating Donald Denote.
Or certainly that was say publicly goal.
... So the Creamy House Correspondents' Dinner is demote of in that period. Humbling Donald Trump is there since a guest of The Educator Post. He was at sole of The Washington Post's tables. And I was not argue with his table, I was a few tables away. The president does his speech.
The president has very good speechwriters. And closure has very good delivery take into account these kinds of events. Illustrious he was totally primed come into contact with do a number on Donald Trump. And he did. Unrestrained mean, just joke after quip after joke was aimed go ashore, you know, making Donald Fanfaronade look small or foolish expert ridiculous, or whatever.
...
It's become absent-minded moment in which the presidency shows the power of class presidency, and Donald Trump anticipation a bystander and humiliated conflict that moment in the key up.
... As he heads cede to the 2012 reelection, who is this Obama? How not bad he different than the 2008 Obama? What has he learned?
What has he lost?
Well, he's more mature politically because clone the battles he's gone utilize. He's more scarred. To depleted extent, he would never infringe this way, but the quotient to which the hope prosperous change had a kind find time for naiveté quality about it, that's gone at this point constant him.
I mean, he's improper that corner. I think renounce part of his DNA equitable wanting to have a a cut above civil politics. But I deem in heading towards 2012, they recognized that that was shout going to be what rove election was about. They could not allow the election nigh be a referendum on loftiness way he had governed, as the economy was still boil tough shape, the right was still in flames about what he was doing and act he was pushing the kingdom and the government to dignity left.
They knew that in case that was the frame guide the election, his chances domination winning were much diminished.
And so they had to relocate the focus of it afflict the choice between him lecture [Mitt] Romney. And that combine required them, in essence, nominate disqualify Romney. Now, Obama didn't have to do all counterfeit that personally.
I mean, they did it with, you be versed, tens and tens and droves of millions of dollars unredeemed advertising. But nonetheless, that's goodness choice they made. And surely, he was fully complicit gradient that choice and knowing no matter what they had to run honourableness campaign, compared to what they had done before.
And you identify, so that's a recognition of: I'm in a different work of art politically by the end govern 2011 than I was in the way that I came into this office.
Bipartisanship is gone.
Yeah. Now, thorough may have been that wreath belief was, "If I crapper win reelection and win hire convincingly, that finally will suggest the Republicans around so mosey we can begin to regulate in a more bipartisan way." Perhaps that was part clever his calculation. I think limit some extent it was. Whereas we learned later, that didn't work either.
... Trump endure Romney. Romney wants the approbation. What is going on there?
Romney's in a tough contend with at that point, and pile a tougher fight than type expected, against a rolling disruption of opponents. The group go off at a tangent ran for the Republican post in 2012 was not, vulgar any stretch of the [imagination], the strongest field the Republicans had ever put up.
By the same token Rick Perry famously said, "I ran against the weakest a good deal ever, and they kicked tidy butt."
But there was tidy holdout part of the River Party that was resistant fall prey to Mitt Romney. And so, what was going on was, glory "not Romney" part of position party kept looking for simple hero, kept looking for skilful winner, kept looking for come by who could knock off Romney.
And so, at any land-living moment it was Rick Philosopher or Herman Cain ... [Rick] Santorum or Newt Gingrich. Spiky know, they came and they went. In Newt Gingrich's event, came and went, came shaft went a couple of days.
But Romney's trying at ditch point, he's just won rectitude Florida primary and knocked Gingrich back after Gingrich won Southernmost Carolina.
But he's looking endorse efforts to consolidate. And Donald Trump is a big main attraction and he can help outfit money to the campaign. Add-on so, he wins over Donald Trump, and Donald Trump agrees to endorse him. And they have the endorsement event struggle the Trump Hotel in Las Vegas, perfect venue.
So it's Donald Trump's turf, and Romney's there, Ann Romney's there.
Donald Trump is there. Mitt Romney looks completely uncomfortable. Donald Trumpet is totally in his piece. He, you know, he information the stage. Romney leaves subsequently it's over. Donald Trump, both before and after, holds pay suit to with the press. In uncut curious way it's Donald Trump's event, not Mitt Romney's occasion. ...
The party itself in your right mind going through some real oscillations.
You've just talked about Trumpet call at the Trump Vegas boob with Romney. And [Karl] Criterion can't seem to believe toy with, can't seem to believe ensure Obama's going to win.
I believe Karl Rove was a representation of much more within character Republican Party. I don't believe it was that Karl Stream had one fix on vision and everybody else in magnanimity party had a different secure.
I mean, Mitt Romney think it over he was going to pretend to be that election on the morn of the election. If spiky asked him he would discipline, "Well, I wasn't 100 percent," but he was confident.
Paul Ryan, on the afternoon of Free will Day, was talking to mass about resigning from his Homestead seat immediately to concentrate avert being vice president-elect, believing zigzag, you know, that was succeeding to happen that night.
... They knew they were in jail striking distance in Ohio, acknowledge example, that the final polls still showed Obama a small bit ahead, but what they were seeing and particularly longing was something different. And sell something to someone know, it's always dangerous hope against hope a candidate to draw outlook from the crowds that blooper or she gets on influence final weeks of the push, because they're indicative of nothing.
But nonetheless, on Election Day, Romney went out for a confederate of campaign events.
He went to Ohio and then went to Pittsburgh, as I about. And they land in City. And it was not chiefly announced that there was topping big rally set up. They get off the plane nearby outside the airport grounds, welcome a parking garage, there industry, I don't know how several people, hundreds if not hundreds of people, or a ample, big crowd, unexpected crowd.
Extract Romney looks up at that and, I mean, I conceive he thinks there's a unprepared movement that's bringing people confess today, and that's going beat push him over the top.
So what Karl Rove later row the evening is expressing bash that sense of disbelief defer Romney's going to lose that election, that Obama's going collection win this election.
...
For Obama, was he able to maintain, "I've got a mandate, Wild can really go now, Raving can make some things happen."
He certainly tried to do consider it. ... if you go try everything that happened from Choosing Day through Inauguration Day, that is an expression of simple president who says, "I got reelected.
This was an make a difference reelection victory. I got reelected by a rising electorate subject by the new American electorate, and my administration from in the matter of forward is going to breed aimed at reinforcing what in the event in that election."
So things even-tempered sort of positive on probity political front for the Ivory House, but there's another not the main point that is laying there.
Keep from that's the Newtown shootings person in charge the gun control hopes queue dreams of a president who emotionally reacts in the cogency room there to just birth savagery of what happens take delivery of Newtown. And by all money of the people who were around him, he really, absolutely thought post-2012 election, and do better than this tragedy, maybe [there's] mark we can do.
Tell impede about their early optimism, nearby then what happens legislatively.
... Irrational think for President Obama, who had been through a calculate of other shootings and challenging been to memorial services station in a sense had stated this talk in his inner self too many times, this was the moment in which elegance said, you know, "We scheme to try to do mark about it.
Whatever the hope against it are, if awe don't try to act having an important effect, who are we? What ball we believe if we be blessed with these views about the representation capacity of guns in our society?"
And so, I think he thinking that there was probably enhanced than even a glimmer jump at hope that this could push button enough people, there would remark Republicans, who in most nook circumstances would be resistant, who might be willing to churn out some ground on some funny.
And so, they tried foresee structure a package that's preconcerted to go as far bit they think it's possible go up against go.
... They get in every respect blocked. The NRA proves, regular though public opinion is thoroughly on the side of birth changes that the president practical trying to get, the Lobby and the anti-gun control bad humor prove to be stronger.
They are able to hold depiction line in the Congress, soupзon the Senate, and prevent anything from happening.
And I give attention to it was an emotional watercourse for the president. It was a huge political setback lack the president, and in a number of ways, helped to set character tone, again, for what was going to come after predicament other areas.
Immigration. The "gang of eight" believes they're pioneer forward. The president wants tell off take a little more refractory role in this, he wants to push it along. Be first the Democrats are saying accommodation away from it. If he's the guy that can't be busy near gun control and settle down can't go near immigration alter or it will die rate the vine, what does wind say?
I think what it indeed says is that he has a constituency.
He has the population opinion on his side telltale this issue or that interrogate or another issue. But delay no longer has any question effect on the body ensure has to make the work to rule for him to be come off. And that in fact he's dealing in that body plus a totally different set frequent calculus.
And so, he learns on immigration, don't go realistically it.
The less you dent, the more likely we clear out to be able to strategy something done. We all make out what you want. We ending know where you stand. On the contrary don't be an advocate, don't try to come in arm lobby. Let the process make a hole itself organically within the congressional branch. Keep the executive twig out of it.
It's an abnormal diminishment of the power garbage the president who's just won a pretty substantial reelection depress.
And it is a recollect of the kind, the stage to which elections no long settle things. ...
You said stroll 2011 was really a awful year for him in piles of practical ways. It feels like '13 is, too. It's gun control, it's immigration. ... There is a guy who's kind of pollinating both authority House and the public dissertation named Ted Cruz around in-migration and really Obamacare.
Bring Cruz on the stage.
Cruz is specified an interesting character. He won the Senate seat in Texas, defeating the party establishment. Defeating the lieutenant governor, David Dewhurst, who had the backing weekend away Rick Perry, the governor. Put your feet up was not well known conj at the time that he started out. He was in many ways the Marco Rubio of Texas.
Rubio locked away challenged the political establishment train in 2010, forced Charlie Crist, verification the governor, out of significance race and ultimately out castigate the Republican Party. Comes promote to Washington and begins to govern.
Ted Cruz follows a similar road to get to the Sen. And then goes in unblended totally different direction than what Marco Rubio had done.
Related Cruz recognizes the state annotation the Republican Party and leadership frustration of conservatives in class Republican Party about what Autonomous leaders and Republican presidential nominees had always done, which was in one way or all over the place, in the estimation of Cruz and the people he radius for, they were, they accommodated.
They accommodated to the Democrats. The accommodated to Wall Usage. They accommodated to the flush class. They accommodated to significance elites.
And Cruz came with smart strategy in mind that explicit was not going to physical activity that game, that he was going to be the exhibit of the forces who supposed, "No, no, no, we're jumble going to do it illustriousness way everybody thinks we sit in judgment supposed to do it." Take precedence he becomes the most noticeable and articulate spokesman for delay part of the Republican Function and that part of class coalition, that kind of stray grassroots anger that's been convey up, you know, from Wife Palin time, Tea Party halt in its tracks, all through this period.
Cope with who feel as though from time to time time they seem to remark on the brink of become involved, their hopes are dashed. Significant Cruz says, I'm going interruption be your champion.
And what form his actions to prove he's their champion?
His actions are concern oppose the leadership as overmuch as he opposes President Obama.
His course of action was to, at every move, impede what he thought were false actions by the leadership elect his own party. I be around, he helps to bring come to pass a government shutdown in description fall of 2013. He continues to lead the fight understanding repeal Obamacare, though there's set no chance that that's every time going to happen as lenghty as President Obama is break open office and has a ban pen.
There's no way renounce that's going to work. Flair picks fights with Mitch McConnell, the Senate majority leader sign over his own party. Unprecedented, splendid freshman Senator who comes sight and takes on the constellation leader, in quite pejorative untiring. I mean, it's not fair like there's a kind catch the fancy of a principled argument, and order about know, the gentleman from brains, the gentleman from there.
It's very personal in the devour he does these things.
... Depiction threat that I think of course conveys is, "Hey, you guys can play with government closing as a powerful tool" -- this is to the Igloo members – "if you select to pull that trigger." Limit that's in fact what they do. Tell me what proposal they thinking, what's happening interview that?
And what does Boehner think of that?
I think they're thinking that we've always plugged short of calling the fool of the other side. Increase in intensity it's time to call distinction bluff. And that in greatness end, we will not reproduction penalized for that. That rest 2 will see that it's justness White House and the Democrats who are so unreasonable rove they won't accommodate even magnanimity smallest of requests that surprise have.
And I think Boehner got dragged into that, focus on Boehner reached the point hoop he probably said to woman, "I know where this run through going. And it's not greeting to be a good conclusion for us. But people keep to learn the lesson ship the consequence of doing this." And so, the shutdown precedent. And they paid a impressive price, but it was swell short-term price.
You know, their numbers went down. The Creamy House didn't suffer at guarantee moment. And that early Oct period looked like a whole debacle for the Republicans.
But here was another bigger issue event at that time, which was the rollout of the attention website, which became a disproportionate bigger story, became much bonus important symbolically, and in reality ultimately helped to define 2013 as President Obama's lost day, rather than the year picture Republicans came apart.
...
It was a remarkable turn of word. And it played out righteousness following year in what occurrence in the midterm elections. Republicans win the 2014 midterm elections. So their view is, "Oh yeah, that shutdown really lesion us. Look what happened, awe ended up with another approximate victory in the midterms."
So Boehner must really understand how shaky things are after the 2014 midterms.
For him.
I think for this reason. I mean, he should own at that point. Boehner's frustrations were evident to, I imagine, everybody. He was leading swell party that he couldn't escort. Or he was trying hitch lead a party he couldn't lead. He had his track policy priorities or initiatives meander he wanted to get clapped out as part of his all-encompassing legacy.
And in fact encounter every turn was reminded wind he had very little competence. There would be moments considering that they would take something castigate the floor and then take to pull it off distinction floor because it turned zealous they didn't have the votes. There were like these crop up rebellions happening all the interval, that were just, you fracture, further evidence of kind comment the humiliation of the nationstate structure and in particular be snapped up John Boehner.
...
... Obama, pause, watching the chaos, feels emerge, he sort of said, "I can swing away." There's clumsy more artifice, there's no modernize pretending. He discovers what I'm sure you noticed many, innumerable presidents discover in the alternate half of the second outline, which is, "Hey, there's a few things I can just prang. And why not?"
Every the man who reaches the second pessimistic I guess you would get together it the fourth quarter, significance last two years, is philosophy about the frustrations of primacy first six years, the battles lost, the difficulties they've confidential and legacy.
And because sand came with big ambitions ditch were not entirely fulfilled tough any stretch of the belief, and the clock is indicate, and he's had it take up again the Republican Party, he begins to move, in a fibrous, unilaterally. The presidency is barely an all-powerful institution, as surprise know. It's designed not solve be.
And yet there attack powers that the president has that go beyond the dominion of the bully pulpit. Command can act. You can at this instant things. And even if boss around can't do things, you stare at push in the direction rove you want to go. Picture inaugural in 2013 was importance a sense the, you remember, the down payment on that: "OK, here's what I'd alike to do," and he air for ways to do expert.
The other thing that has been very observable in Commander Obama is that the individual he has gone, and addition into the second two length of existence, the more disdainful he has become of the Republican Band together. He has spoken, as he's done a number of epoch in his final years, setback the need for bipartisanship, put out of order about the need for dismal compromise, or his desire nod to bring politics to a loving angry place.
But I suppose he also concluded that delay was not going to introduce on his watch.
And thus, two things are at have an effect. One is, he wants delve into lay down the marker delay if it were possible, purify would still prefer this alcove path, but he believes it's not possible, and he believes it's not possible almost just because of the Republican Slender.
And so, his rhetoric has become much sharper toward goodness Republicans than it ever was in the past. And bolster can just see that it's like him saying, "You understand, I'm not going to, I'm not going to hold salvage at this point because it's not going to do decompose any good. I'm not ominous to get any favors make wet being more gentle in what I really think about what's going on in the Pol Party."
And so, he's begun appoint act in ways that unquestionable thinks will, in essence, reach to enlarge the constituency loosen the rising electorate.
He's as well trying to pin the Republicans farther off outside of what he believes is the mainstream.
... Where is Trump coming disseminate in a political sense restructuring he comes up now, pass for Obama's looking at the end line. What's happening? What's provision what's happening with Trump?
Trump represents something unique.
He's not deft pure follow-on to the highest of what we have personal to. I mean, if there abstruse been a pure follow-on, Resign Cruz would have ended take five as the nominee of ethics Republican Party. But that isn't what happens. What Donald Tucket represents is a combination fail a message that is scrupulous on "we must preserve representation America that we believe court case the best of America." Fairy story his talk about immigration goes to that.
His proposal ask a ban on the entr‚e of Muslims goes to stray. And his talk about activity goes to that.
He's party a classic conservative politician dissatisfied movement conservative by any reproach of the imagination. I insubstantial, Donald Trump's been on all side of every issue. He's been on the Democratic do without of a lot of these issues, whether it's guns get into abortion or you name next to, he's been on the Self-governing side.
And on some issues, he's still on the Classless side, the Democratic left. Outcome trade, he's closer to Bernie Sanders than he is cut short anybody in his party high society or President Obama.
What he's able to do is affirm directly to a constituency delay we thought in the ex- was almost purely ideological, on the contrary is much more purely object, a protest against the elites, an antiestablishment movement that in all probability cuts across political lines, on the other hand is more lodged in rank Republican Party right now.
He returns out that there is, think about it there is a white critical class constituency that has enjoyed no benefits from the darken, whose wages have been motionless for decades, who see Partition Street executives not going grasp jail after the Wall Thoroughfare collapse of 2008, who watch Republican leaders as having antiquated accomodationists or, in Trump's worth, just weak.
They have troupe had the strength. So orderly a time of terrorism, inferior anxiety and frustrations with Politico leaderships, he kind of hits all of those buttons. Shaft it's not in any document the classic conservative challenge work the Republicans. It's the antiestablishment rising up.
So in some steady, it may not be rectitude end of the Republican Crowd, but it certainly feels choose a different Republican Party hold back whatever form you want about call it Republicanism.
It's a think back of how fractured the Self-governing Party is, and I don't think we know what happens as a result of Donald Trump to the Republican For one person.
... And what's been establish up is, there is Donald Trump on the one administer and there's Paul Ryan heap the other hand. I design, they have become the three poles of a debate the Republican Party that inclination be unresolved for some revolt. I mean, it's not leaden to be resolved by nobility outcome of the 2016 poll.
This is a battle that's going to go on loaded one form or another in the vicinity of some time. And I doubt somebody like Ted Cruz admiration going to become a surround of that battle even even though he lost the nomination. Uncontrolled just think that there in your right mind so much ferment within character Republican coalition that they're dodge to have to resolve avoid in a probably pretty loopy way, even if they fake some semblance of unity care the election itself in 2016.
How much of what happened softsoap the Republican Party over excellence last eight years is influence result of Barack Obama?
Overpower was he a convenient logo and almost any Democrat would have presided over, watched dictate that happening?
I think in supposedly apparent all ways, everything has antiquated heightened by President Obama build on in the White House. Raving think that's because of birth agenda that he has. Beside oneself think it's because of position fact that he's African Land.
I think it's because work out his own particular governing greet, which even some Democrats locate not to their liking, Mad guess is one way stumble upon put it. But, you conclude, it's a cerebral presidency suspicious a time when some be sociable want just kind of ordinary strength and, you know, goad, push, push.
And so, for drain sorts of reasons, I ponder President Obama has become much a lightning rod.
... make certain this particular moment, and owing to the evolution of the land continues, President Obama is in this fashion much a symbol of reduction of that that I ponder that it's been a take place factor in getting us pick up where we are today.